Africa urgently needs its own Age of Enlightenment

GhanaDot.com
By James Shikwati
August 13, 2008

“The majority of Africans today are poorer than those who lived in the Stone Age Era,” Prof. Gregory Clark tore into our presentation. A Sydney based think tank, The Center for Independent Studies (CIS) introduced Africa to leading Australian business people and politicians. In a forum dubbed ‘Where to Africa,’ delegates sought to know why a continent rich in every imaginable mineral, with people full of aspirations is lagging in progress.

CIS President Greg Lindsay included Africa on the agenda of his organization’s annual brainstorming forum popularly referred to as the Consilium as part of a strategy to initiate dialogue between Africa and Australia. The ongoing scramble for Africa’s resources by Europe, U.S.A, China, India, and Turkey among others clearly calls for Africans sobering up and seeking positive ways to make the continent a hub of business.

Comparing African history to that of Europe, one can clearly see the need to initiate continent’s own Age of Enlightenment. Obviously no single individual drove the European enlightenment but historians do point out the fact that the quest to have reason as a primary source and basis for authority created a new order in Europe. According to Prof. Clark, the majority of the English as late as 1813 were in conditions no better than their ancestors in Africa. Europeans in London were … a filthy people who squatted above their own feces, stored in the basement cesspits.

European history is dotted with tribalism, ethnicity, superstition, extreme religious beliefs, repressive kingdoms and wars, but that ought not to be an excuse for Africans to celebrate. The lesson Europe offers however, is that the exploitation of an inquiring mind, a mind that was willing to be rebellious and give reason the power to shape people’s lives is what gave birth to Europe as we know it today.

Africans ought to drive their own age of enlightenment by asking such basic questions as to why a continent rich in minerals is perceived to be poorer than the rest of the World. Why must a rich continent be AID dependent? Why is it that ethnicity in Africa is perceived to be the core to conflicts on the continent? What prevents African leaders from developing a long term vision for their own people? How can we fuse cultural beliefs and legal systems with the larger global systems in order to surface Africa’s predominantly underground economy? Should Africans simply agree with Prof. Clark’s assertions that no real development is taking place in Africa simply because population growth outstrips economic growth and that the quality of labor output in Africa is below standard? (Here I recommend that Africans read pessimistic arguments from Prof. Gregory Clark in his book “A Farewell to Alms” published by Princeton University Press)

Zimbabwe’s Shadow Justice Minister for the MDC (Mutambara faction), David Coltart and Ugandan journalist and Documentary maker, Mr. Andrew Mwenda who were also present emerged as optimists on the future of Africa; the general thread of our argument was that Africa is in transition, whatever the developed countries view as negative is actually positive. The Western investors were reminded to shun a narrow minded approach to Africa; Andrew gave an example where a leading cell phone company MTN could not secure credit from Western financiers simply because they believed that Africa is a continent where nothing good can be achieved. Ten years later, MTN now a leading cell phone company in Uganda, has Western financing institutions literally begging it to take their funds. For David, Zimbabwe has a bright future, investors should not treat Zimbabwe as if it were some static entity; what the international community ought to do is to focus on long term.

To the Western World, the riots that rocked Kenya after the bungled presidential elections was a sign of retrogression – but analyzed critically, it was a positive sign that Africans can no longer let their freedoms to be trampled upon by dictators. In other words, when Africans protest against repressive regimes the Western media perceives the same to be a sign of retrogression. For Kenya, the post election violence pointed out the fact that people in the East African region are interdependent.

Political stupidity in Kenya hurts Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, Southern Sudan, Eastern Congo, and even Somalia. In other words, the cost of stupidity in Africa is going up…Kenya no longer belongs to itself – a positive sign on growing regional interdependence that will eventually drive Africa to a one market sphere.

At the Inter Region Economic Network, we host our own version of the Consilium, referred to as the African Resource Bank (ARB). Now in its 6th year, the November 9 – 12, 2008 ARB will give African delegates an opportunity to discuss how to commercialize African resources to raise standards of living on the continent. Africa urgently needs its own age of enlightenment to ensure prosperity for all!

James Shikwati is the Founder President of the Inter Region Economic Network and CEO of The African Executive an online business magazine. Mr. Shikwati was named a 2008 Young Global Leader by the World Economic Forum. james@irenkenya.org

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‘No deal yet’

The Zimbabwean Guardian
Staff reporter
Wednesday, 13 August 2008

UNBELIEVABLY, for the positive role he has played in the current political negotiations on Zimbabwe, South African President, Thabo Mbeki’s own position is now expected to come under scrutiny this weekend at a meeting of regional powers!

With hot communication lines buzzing throughout the world on the Zimbabwe situation it is no surprise that “wannabee first to hit the headlines” reporters are grabbing at straws, so much so that the SA President Mbeki has found himself having to stem rumours and deny that any power sharing deal has at last been signed between breakaway Opposition Leader Arthur Mutambara and President Robert Mugabe.

Despite this, it would appear that President Mbeki feels that a settlement could be reached.

The secretary general of the smaller opposition group, Welshman Ncube has rebuffed speculation that his party has clinched a power-sharing deal with President Robert Mugabe that excludes Morgan Tsvangirai.

We reported earlier that President Mugabe and Morgan Tsvangirai had been unable to agree on the way forward, and Tsvangirai did leave the negotiations early yesterday (Tuesday) but, according to the BBC’s Karen Allen, this was merely to go and reflect on the deliberations.

At least one news publisher reported that the Mutambara faction came under fire from at least seven of its MPs-elect for signing the deal.

The following MDC(M) MPs are said to have threatened to quit if a deal was signed: Edward Tshotsho Mkhosi, MDC-Mangwe, Abednico Bhebhe (MDC Nkayi South), David Coltart (Khumalo senator), and a few unnamed others.

The only MP said to be receptive of the idea was Moses Mzila Ndlovu,MDC-Bulilima who was one of the negotiators in the power sharing talks in South Africa.

It is now clear that although a deal could have been signed, the signing parties will have to go a long way in convincing the public and their own supporters to accept the deal.

President Thabo Mbeki said the break was to allow Tsvangirai time to consider an unspecified aspect, of the proposed power-sharing setup.

Mbeki says he has no doubt the current round of talks will result in a power-sharing deal, as none of the parties can single handedly haul Zimbabwe out of the quagmire.

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Mutambara Faction MPS Threaten to Quit

Radio Voice of the People
13 August 2008

HARARE, August 13 2008 – Seven Members of Parliament (MPs) aligned to the Mutambara led Movement for Democratic Change on Tuesday reportedly threatened to leave the faction if their leadership signed a deal with President Robert Mugabe.

MP for Mangwe, Edward Tshotsho Mkhosi, is said to have told the Zimbabwe Metro that he would quit if Mutambara hopped into bed with Mugabe.

“No I will not watch history being repeated,we have seen ZANU PF’s strategy of divide and rule in the past and this time it will not work,not this time,” said Mkhosi.

Another MP for Nkayi South, Abednico Bhebe, told the Telegraph that he would would not agree to such an agreement. “”If this has happened I don’t agree. This will be disastrous. None of us will go with him. He would be committing political suicide.”

Senator David Coltart, Khumalo, also said he would not agrre to a deal betwwen his party’s leadership and expressed ‘doubt the majority of our executive would support that decision.”

Four other unnamed MPs have reportedly voiced their displeasure with the leadership’s decision.

Mutambara and Ncube lost parliament bids in Zengeza West and Makokoba respectively, to candidates from the faction led by Morgan Tsvangirai. Reports indicate that the Mutambara faction pushed for an amendment of No. 19 during the talks, so as increase appointed senators from five to 21.

South African President Thabo Mbeki on Wednesday confirmed that Mugabe had agreed a power-sharing deal with a breakaway opposition faction on Tuesday, but has yet to agree with main rival Morgan Tsvangirai.

A state controlled Herald report also confirmed the signing of an agreement by Mugabe and Mutambara on Tuesday, which it said would pave the way for Mugabe to form the next government.

“Although MDC-T leader Morgan Tsvangirai did not sign, it was expected that negotiations would continue until he appended his signature to the agreement,” said the Herald.

Mbeki, mediating in talks to end the political and economic crisis paralysing Zimbabwe, said negotiations had not broken down and Movement for Democratic Change (MDC) leader Tsvangirai was still considering his position.

Talks on power-sharing began last month after Mugabe’s unopposed re-election in a vote that was condemned around the world and boycotted by Tsvangirai because of attacks on his supporters.

But three days of meetings in Harare have failed to reach an overall deal. The ZANU-PF official said Mugabe, in power since 1980, would form a national unity government and convene parliament next week.

Mutambara’s 10 seats would give the coalition the majority in parliament that ZANU-PF lost in March elections for the first time since independence, but analysts say excluding Tsvangirai would be unlikely to heal the deep rift in the southern African country.

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Mugabe party claims deal struck with opposition faction

The Daily Telegraph
By Peta Thornycroft In Harare And Sebastien Berger
13 August 2008

Robert Mugabe’s Zanu-PF party claims to have signed a power-sharing deal with a faction of the opposition Movement for Democratic Change [MDC] to create a new government in Zimbabwe.

The agreement with Arthur Mutambara would sideline Morgan Tsvangirai, the leader of the main MDC bloc, who beat Mr Mugabe in the first round of the presidential election in March, taking just short of 50 per cent of the vote.

A senior Zanu-PF official had earlier said: “We, and the MDC headed by Mutambara have signed the agreement. “Tsvangirai did not sign the agreement because he is basically trying to take us back, to renegotiate issues that we had already agreed on. “We are proceeding, and the president is going to form a government of national unity including members of the opposition.” He said his party would not be “held hostage” by Mr Tsvangirai, and insisted that parliament would be convened next week.

The move would create a new government and close the door to further negotiations with Mr Tsvangirai. Negotiations between Mr Mugabe and the two MDC faction leaders have been stymied over the key question of executive authority.

The report of a new “government of national unity” agreement between Mr Mugabe and Prof Mutambara could be a negotiating ploy by Zanu-PF. That hypothesis seemed to be supported by Prof Mutambara, a robotics scientist by profession, who denied the claims late last night. He told The Daily Telegraph: “It’s rubbish, rubbish, rubbish,” before hanging up.

If the report is confirmed, however, it would represent a stunning coup for the octogenarian president, splitting the opposition and reaffirming the political skills that have kept him in power over three decades.

But while it might help keep Mr Mugabe and the Zanu-PF in office, it would do nothing to solve the myriad problems they have imposed on the country.

As such it would be a humiliation for Thabo Mbeki, the South African president tasked with mediating the talks between the government and the opposition. He has long been accused by critics of being too soft on Mr Mugabe, and if he presides over an agreement that excludes Mr Tsvangirai, his hopes for any legacy as an African statesman will be over.
It would also do nothing to help Zimbabwe’s beleaguered economy, which is ravaged by hyperinflation and in desperate need of aid and investment.

Western countries have hinted at a multi-billion-pound reconstruction package if Mr Mugabe accepts a genuine power sharing government. But any deal that cut Mr Tsvangirai out would eliminate the prospect of foreign aid.

Key members of Prof Mutambara’s own faction, which split off in 2005, last night denounced any deal along the reported lines, saying that none of them had been consulted.

“If this has happened I don’t agree,” said Abednico Bhebe, from southern Matabeleland and one of the faction’s 10 members of parliament. “This will be disastrous. None of us will go with him. He would be committing political suicide.”

David Coltart, who represents Bulawayo in the senate, said: “If that happened I don’t agree and I doubt the majority of our executive would support that decision.”

The talks between Zanu-PF and the main MDC faction had broken off earlier in the day. Mr Tsvangirai left looking grim-faced but Tendai Biti, his secretary-general and chief negotiator, said: “The talks have not collapsed. It’s just a time out. There is nothing that cannot be overcome.”

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Reports of Side Deal in Zimbabwe

THE NEW YORK TIMES
August 12, 2008

JOHANNESBURG — News agencies reported Tuesday that Arthur Mutambara, the leader of a faction of Zimbabwe’s opposition party, had signed a deal with President Robert Mugabe to form a unity government after months of turmoil and political instability in the country.

The reports, citing an unidentified senior official in Mr. Mugabe’s party, ZANU-PF, said that Mr. Mutambara and Mr. Mugabe had sidelined the country’s main opposition leader, Morgan Tsvangirai, by reaching the deal without him or his dominant wing of the opposition party.

Mr. Mutambara could not be reached to confirm or deny the report.

But David Coltart, a Senator from the faction, said that if Mr. Mutambara had made such a side deal — and he had no confirmation that he had — it would have been without a mandate from the faction’s national executive and was highly unlikely to be supported by the faction’s 10 members of Parliament or six senators.

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Towards a negotiated settlement in Zimbabwe Part 2

The Standard
2 August 2008
Opinion by David Coltart

Question – what has happened to all our patriots?

It seems to me that our nation has been blighted by a succession of leaders who are more concerned with their personal interests or the narrow interests of their own political parties and supporters than they are in the great nation state of Zimbabwe.

This should be a great nation; it is richly endowed with bright articulate hard-working people; with rich natural resources; with the best climate in the world; it is a country of stunning natural beauty. As Garfield Todd said over 50 years ago it is indeed the finest country on earth. How can it then be that the finest country on earth is the location of one of the world’s worst nightmares? I believe that is primarily because our political leadership has for decades put selfish personal interests ahead of the national interest.

One of the reasons the Lancaster house talks did not provide a long-term resolution to Zimbabwe’s problems is because white rights were put before the entrenchment of universally recognised human rights. Instead of ensuring that the new Zimbabwean Constitution was deeply rooted in democratic principles, there was a concentration on protecting white interests. In contrast both FW De Klerk and Roelff Meyer in the South African negotiations recognised that it was more important to entrench democracy for all than it was to seek to protect white privilege.

Likewise the reason the December 22, 1987 Unity Accord has come unstuck is because it accommodated the interests of the political leadership of Zanu PF and PF Zapu rather than the general interests of the Zimbabwean people. One of the reasons there is such antipathy in Zimbabwe today regarding a government of national unity is because of the 1987 Unity Accord. The Unity Accord is viewed by most people, certainly in Matabeleland, as a settlement which benefited a few leaders and did not entrench democracy and so lay the foundation for meaningful economic development which would benefit all Zimbabweans.

Sadly that attitude continues to this day and applies to both Zanu PF and the MDC. I fear that the current negotiations may focus on who gets what instead of what structural reforms are needed to put Zimbabwe back on the road to recovery. If the negotiations focus on how much power is either retained by Zanu PF or acquired by the MDC rather than the policy reforms needed then any settlement that arises from the negotiations will not be wholeheartedly embraced by the Zimbabwean people.

To this extent who leads the country and who is in any Cabinet is irrelevant. Let me be quite clear what I mean. Obviously the democratic will of the people of Zimbabwe as reflected in the 29 March 2008 elections must be respected. However the problems Zimbabwe face are so severe and intractable that we cannot allow petty bickering about who gets what to derail the negotiations. All national leaders must recommit themselves to the national interest and be prepared to subordinate their personal goals and ambitions to what is in the best interests of Zimbabwe. This means that in the interests of compromise there may have to be some power-sharing mechanism during a transitional period.

In this regard let me briefly respond to the statement issued by the civil society organisations on 17 July 2007 in which they call upon a transitional government to have “leadership by a neutral body” and a transitional government “headed by an individual who is not a member of Zanu PF or MDC”. Once again whilst I appreciate the sentiment which lies behind the statement one cannot just disregard the wishes of the Zimbabwean people as expressed on 29 March. Our society remains deeply polarised and we cannot ignore the fact that leaders on both sides of the political divide enjoy the passionate support of their respective supporters. They have been given a mandate by their supporters and that mandate must be respected in the negotiation process. However it is because of that deep polarisation that I believe we will have to consider some interim power sharing mechanism. And it goes without saying that power-sharing involves compromise on both sides.

But the tragic consequences are not solely confined to economic collapse. Almost of greater concern to me is the collapse of the moral fabric of our society. We need to consider the effect of 50 years of violence on our national character. In this regard and I am not only speaking about the victims of violence but also about the perpetrators. In the last few weeks I have seen horrifying injuries inflicted on Zimbabweans by young men. Doctors say that some of these injuries are so severe that they would never occur, for example, in a traffic accident. Bones had been broken repeatedly by young men acting on the instructions of their political leaders. I have no doubt that they will be haunted by what they have done in the years that lie ahead. Scientific studies show that those who inflict violence on political opponents often go on to inflict violence on those they love including spouses and children. It is also a fact that we now have a deeply ingrained culture of violence. If negotiations are to succeed then not only must this violence stop immediately but other measures must be taken to ensure that violence does not derail either the talks or the transition.

In these circumstances the demand by the MDC that all violence should stop, that political detainees should be released and that is NGOs be allowed to distribute food are reasonable. However I would qualify these demands by recognising that even if Zanu PF gives undertakings it will be difficult to verify the compliance of those undertakings in the short term and to change the mind set of a generation of youth militia overnight. I believe that SADC has a key role to play in this regard. I think the state should immediately deploy civilian monitors to report back to the facilitators regarding whether militia camps have been removed, whether NGOs are able to function and other legitimate issues of concern have been addressed. I think that if such a commitment is given by SADC then negotiations should commence without further ado. But we must recognise that unless there are neutral SADC monitors deployed in the country eruptions of violence are more likely to occur and these may have the effect of disrupting the talks.

It follows as well that a crucial aspect of the talks must be how to tackle the culture of violence so that it does not derail any transitional period agreed to in the talks. Suffice it to say that we must not underestimate how serious this problem is and our need for an ongoing presence of SADC monitors even during the transitional period.

For the reasons I have outlined above a government of national unity will be viewed with extreme scepticism by most Zimbabweans. The fear of Zimbabweans is that the government of national unity will draw in unscrupulous political leaders who then become part of a corrupt system. The fear is that those leaders are then compromised and that they will fail to deal with the fundamental problems facing Zimbabwe.

It is for this reason that a transitional authority should be agreed to and I would like to discuss a few aspects of this authority. Before I do so let me respond to those who may say that there is no difference between a GNU and a Transitional Authority. Some argue that this is just about semantics. I disagree – the difference is all about emphasis. A GNU focuses on “unity”; substance is secondary and the notion of a transition to something different is completely subordinate to unity. A Transitional Authority focuses on “transition”. There can, and must of course, be unity in transition but the emphasis is on a transition to something new, not just a changing of the guard at the top.

My own belief is that any transitional authority emerging from the talks should generally respect the will of the people as expressed on 29 March 2008. As stated above because our nation is so deeply polarised there will have to be a power-sharing arrangement during the transition including all the political parties given a mandate by the electorate in March. However during the transition civil society will have to play a major role in certain aspects of the transitional authority’s mandate, especially regarding the process which should culminate in a new democratic constitution.

Any transitional authority agreed to should have a finite mandate. It must be made clear that the authority will not have a mandate to govern indefinitely. In addition the duration of the authority should be as short as possible; and it should be understood that it is to govern in the short term — I would hope for no longer than 18 months to two years.
It seems to me that there are four critical areas that need to be addressed by a transitional authority.

The transitional authority should be mandated to stabilise the economy, to seek balance of payments support, to tackle inflation by engaging institutions such as the World Bank and the IMF. It will need to draw on technical expertise from qualified Zimbabweans and others who can introduce the necessary economic policies to stop Zimbabwe’s economic freefall.
Zimbabwe is arguably suffering the world’s greatest humanitarian crisis at present. The country faces a severe food shortage; our hospitals are devoid of qualified personnel and medication. An absolute priority of the transitional authority should be to engage the international community to ensure the importation of the necessary food and drugs and introduction of policies which will attract qualified personnel to return to Zimbabwe to address the food and health crisis.

At the root of the political, economic and humanitarian crises is our deeply flawed Constitution. The transitional authority should immediately engage all Zimbabwean political parties, civic organisations that trade union movements, churches and other interested organisations to recommence the constitutional debate and to agree on an all-inclusive process which will culminate in a new constitution.

Once the economy has been stabilised, the humanitarian crisis addressed and a new constitution enacted the transitional authority should hand over to a genuinely, and objectively verifiable, Independent Electoral Commission which will then conduct and genuinely free and fair elections supervised by SADC and the AU.

Zimbabwe has reached a political stalemate. There is no way out for Zanu PF. Its nemesis is now the economy. It has no solution to hyperinflation. It knows that in the coming weeks and months it will not even be able to feed key elements of its support base. To that extent it has no choice but to negotiate. Likewise the combined MDC in respecting its moral and practical commitment to a non-violent solution to the Zimbabwean crisis must recognise that it to too has no choice but to negotiate, no matter how unpalatable that may be in certain respects.

Despite our fears and reservations we must see this as a unique opportunity to negotiate a peaceful settlement for our nation. Our country is in great peril today. We can either allow it to continue down its present slide to destruction and oblivion or we can all work together to seize this opportunity to lay the foundations for a great nation. I reiterate again the words of Garfield Todd made over 50 years ago – this is indeed the finest country on earth. It is missing one key ingredient at present – democracy. When that ingredient is rooted I have no doubt that the Zimbabwe will yet become the jewel of Africa.

*David Coltart is Senator-elect for Khumalo Constituency. This is an abridged version of a Speech given to Bulawayo Agenda meeting on Friday July 18, 2008.

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Pressure on Mugabe to pay troops

Sydney Morning Herald
By Connie Levett
August 1, 2008

ZIMBABWE’S leader, Robert Mugabe, is under pressure to resolve the country’s political deadlock because hyperinflation threatens his ability to pay his key backers, the police and the army, say his opponents.

Power-sharing talks are to resume on Sunday, the South African President, Thabo Mbeki, said after flying to Harare to meet Mr Mugabe amid reports that the talks are at a standstill. Mr Mbeki is mediating the talks.

The opposition Movement for Democratic Change says Mr Mugabe is on a much tighter timetable than it to find a resolution because of the economic freefall.

Today, with annual inflation officially at 2.2 million per cent, Zimbabwe’s Reserve Bank will introduce a currency that wipes 10 zeros off the previous notes – $Z10 billion will be worth $Z1 in the new currency. But as the regime has done nothing to improve economic fundamentals, the inflation will continue.

“We would like to see the speedy conclusion of the talks … and a successful outcome so that we can focus in the future our attention around our economy,” Mr Mugabe said this week in Harare. He voiced his “total commitment” to a successful conclusion to the negotiations in South Africa between his ZANU-PF party and the two factions of the MDC.

David Coltart, a senator-elect for the smaller MDC faction, said the speed of the talks was being driven by what was happening in the economy. “I think Mugabe understands he has no solution to hyperinflation and the looming problem of him not being able to pay the military and police has put enormous pressure on him to reach a settlement,” Mr Coltart said in Sydney yesterday.

The new currency was Mr Mugabe’s last throw of the dice. “We had been told they had new currency printed, that it was done in the hope they could tackle inflation and then introduce the new currency,” he said. “But they have had to do it without tackling hyperinflation to buy themselves some time.”

The regime’s hand was forced last month when its German banknote paper supplier refused to supply any more paper.

“The pressure is off us, we have more time, it gives us considerable leverage,” Mr Coltart said, “though of course, we can’t adopt a callous stance – the people are suffering.”

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Zimbabwe crisis talks break down?

ABC Radio Australia
The World Today – Wednesday, 30 July, 2008 12:40
Reporter: Eleanor Hall
Interview with Senator David Coltart

ELEANOR HALL: In South Africa the crisis talks between Zimbabwean leaders stalled overnight. South Africa’s President, Thabo Mbeki, who brokered the deal for the meeting, said while the negotiators have now returned home, the talks have gone well. Zimbabwean Opposition Senator, David Coltart, said there was no trust between Morgan Tsvangirai’s Movement for Democratic Change and the ageing dictator, Robert Mugabe.

But he said he was optimistic that Mr Mugabe would sign a deal out of fear that otherwise his own military may remove him from power. Senator Coltart is the MDC’s Secretary for Legal Affairs and is in Australia this week as a guest of the Centre for Independent Studies. He spoke to me earlier today.

Senator Coltart, thanks for speaking to us. The news this morning is that the unity talks between Zimbabwean leaders have been adjourned and the leaders have returned to Zimbabwe. What can you tell us about what has caused the talks to stall?

DAVID COLTART: The talks have adjourned. There are some reports that, that is because they have reached an impasse. But my understanding is that that is not the case that they’ve reached agreements on certain issues which issues now have to be discussed with the principles. Zanu-PF in particular has to go back to speak to Robert Mugabe.

ELEANOR HALL: And are you able to tell us anything about those decisions that they might be going back to the leaders about?

DAVID COLTART: Unfortunately, you know, there is this blanket of secrecy around the talks. All the parties have agreed that they will discuss the detail and so I would be in breach of that.

ELEANOR HALL: One thing that we’re hearing is that the talks have in fact broken down because Morgan Tsvangirai was offered third vice president and the MDC saw this as insulting.

DAVID COLTART: I think it’s unlikely. The general consensus that I’ve gleaned is that he will be offered a substantive post. A third vice president wouldn’t provide him with any power and simply is a non-starter.

ELEANOR HALL: So you don’t think that would be the case, that offer would be on the table?

DAVID COLTART: They may have put that offer even before the talks started. But I think that Zanu-PF itself would know that that is simply a non-starter.

ELEANOR HALL: How much of a problem is it that that the memorandum on these talks did not make any mention of the key issue which is whether Robert Mugabe should remain as president?

DAVID COLTART: I suppose the reason why they haven’t put it as part of the agenda is because they realise that for both sides it will be a deal breaker. I see the resolution to this in Mugabe as unpalatable as it may be, remaining with the name of president, but with greatly reduced powers.

ELEANOR HALL: Would Mugabe accept that, do you think?

DAVID COLTART: I think that Mugabe’s going to have no choice. The economy is spinning out of control and to that extent he comes to the negotiations with a very weakened hand. And I think that the negotiations will focus on trying to save face for him as some form of compromise so that he would remain as president but in pretty much a non-executive role.

ELEANOR HALL: You’ve said that the 1987 Unity Accord that Mr Mugabe negotiated with Joshua Nkomo serves as a warning to the MDC. What lessons should your party take from that?

DAVID COLTART: Well the 1987 agreement resulted in Joshua Nkomo’s ZAPU party being swallowed up by Zanu-PF. So if we want to remain relevant as a political party it’s important that we address these fundamental issues such as the constitution, human rights abuses and that in turn will guarantee that we have a voice, an effective voice in future.

ELEANOR HALL: Given the history of that 1987 Unity Accord though, is it really possible to trust Robert Mugabe on something like this?

DAVID COLTART: We can’t trust Robert Mugabe at all. He has always had a belief in a de facto one party state. He is at his core a Marxist Leninist. And so he does not come to these negotiations with clean hands; and he does not come in good faith.

But let me stress this: that the fundamental differences between now and 1987; in 1987 Robert Mugabe was in charge of a country that had a reasonably strong economy, he had the backing of pretty much the entire world and so he was in a much stronger negotiating position. Now it’s completely different. Robert Mugabe is alienated, is isolated, even in the region, inflation is out of control, there’s a lot of disaffection within the military and the police and the civil service.

And to that extent he is the weaker party and he we will have to reach an agreement soon because if he doesn’t there’s the real danger that events will spin totally out of control and that he may even lose power through the military taking things over themselves.

ELEANOR HALL: Are there any signs of that at all?

DAVID COLTART: Well there are no signs at present because the generals have backed Robert Mugabe. But there’s growing disaffection in the rank and file of the military; and he can no longer afford to pay viable wages. And that must remain a huge worry for him.

ELEANOR HALL: Given what you’re saying though, about a complete lack of trust between the MDC and Robert Mugabe; how is it possible to reach a compromise on something so utterly critical to Robert Mugabe’s future?

DAVID COLTART: Robert Mugabe is an incredibly proud individual. But we think that if there can be some face-saving mechanism for him, I stress, as unpalatable as that may be to me and others, we may be able yet to negotiate a way out of this whereby Mugabe saves face by retaining the presidency, hopefully for as short a period as possible, but meaningful power in transferred to the person who really enjoys the majority support in the country now, namely Morgan Tsvangirai.

ELEANOR HALL: What do you see as the consequences if these talks don’t resume and resolve the situation for Zimbabwe?

DAVID COLTART: Well the immediate consequence is that the economic crisis will not be dealt with. Tied into that is of course the humanitarian crisis which arguably is the worst in the world. Inflation is running at well over two million per cent; this past week the Zimbabwe Government issued a $100-billion note which doesn’t even buy a coke.

Out shops are empty. There is no food in the country. There are no medical supplies. People are pouring out of the country. Over 3,500 people are dying a week in Zimbabwe and that situation is spinning out of control.

That is why both Zanu-PF and the SADC (Southern African Development Community) mediators under President Mbeki have insisted that these negotiations last no more than two weeks, because they understand the gravity of the crisis. And that really we’re talking about the end game now.

ELEANOR HALL: And that was Zimbabwe Opposition Senator David Coltart.

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Towards a negotiated settlement Part 1

The Standard
Opinion by David Coltart
28 July 2008

WHILST the MOU will undoubtedly be a positive step forward towards a negotiated settlement in Zimbabwe, many pitfalls still lie ahead and we will need Mandela-like wisdom to negotiate them.

A few weeks ago in London Nelson Mandela commented on the Zimbabwean crisis using four words which are profoundly significant as we move towards a negotiated settlement. He said that the Zimbabwean crisis was, and I quote, a “tragic failure of leadership”. At that time many took his comments as an attack on Robert Mugabe alone. However I do not believe that his comments were directed solely at Robert Mugabe. I believe that he was referring to a collective failure of leadership in Zimbabwe not just this year but over a protracted period.

It is just over 50 years since Garfield Todd’s tenure as Prime Minister of Southern Rhodesia ended on the 17th of February 1958. In his farewell statement Todd said “we must make it possible for every individual to lead the good life, to win a place in the sun. We are in danger of becoming a race of fear ridden neurotics — we who live in the finest country on earth”. Those wise words have been disregarded by a succession of political leaders in Zimbabwe for the last 50 years. Zimbabwe has been blighted during the last 50 years by political leaders of all races and of all ideologies who have been guilty of the following errors of judgment:

Since the early 1960s Zimbabwean political parties have generally been led by men who believe that physical force is more important than moral force. The 1961 Constitution would have led to a gradual and orderly transition from white minority rule to majority rule but it was derailed by both black and white politicians who did not believe in compromise and who preferred to place their faith in the use of force and violence either to retain power or to acquire it.

The politics of the 1960s and 1970s were marked by a shocking lack of commitment by most political leaders to seek non-violent means of resolving the then political crisis. Since 1980 we have been led by a regime that has a deep-rooted belief in and commitment to the use of violence to achieve political objectives. Tragically as so often happens under tyrannical regimes, those who oppose tyranny sometimes get poisoned by tyranny and themselves replicate or mirror the methods used by the very tyrannical regimes they oppose. Zimbabwe has been no exception and I have no doubt that the struggle for freedom has been compromised periodically when we in the opposition have lapsed into the thinking that our problems may be resolved through the use of physical force and violence.

I was horrified to read recently statements made by a few senior opposition leaders which betray this thinking. One threatened a “shooting war” and went on to say that the MDC should not be blamed “when we start.” Another wrote that an option was to “pick up arms of war” and drive Mugabe out. Whilst I fully understand the deep sense of frustration which leads to statements like this being made, these utterances are irresponsible. War, or the threat of war, should never be part of our lexicon, especially during any negotiation process. That is the language we expect to hear from Mugabe — it should never come from a democrat at this juncture of our history.

All democratic political leaders must consider the legacy of the last 50 years of violence in Zimbabwe. We need to all understand that it is this continual reversion to violence which has brought our great nation to the sorry state is in today. Unless all political leaders unequivocally revoke the use or threat of violence there will never be a meaningful negotiated settlement in Zimbabwe.

And it is simply no excuse for opposition leaders to threaten the use of violence or war in response to the shocking brutality exercised by this regime against the Zimbabwean people. All those threats will do is perpetuate the horrifying cycle of violence this country has experienced in the last 50 years. In short war or the threat of war is simply not an option. If the talks, which are about to commence, are to succeed that threat should never be used by anyone, certainly not by the democrats.
Accordingly if we are to negotiate a settlement there must be a profound commitment to refrain from the violence of the fist, tongue and heart by the opposition, irrespective of what Zanu PF leaders have done or are planning to do. We must recognise that we occupy the high ground morally as we enter this process and we must not lose that position by making foolhardy threats at this critical juncture.

2. They are concentrated on either the retention or acquisition of power rather than the national interest I question what has happened to all our patriots? It seems to me that our nation has been blighted by a succession of leaders who are more concerned with their personal interests or the narrow interests of their own political parties and supporters then they are in the great nation state of Zimbabwe. This should be a great nation; it is richly endowed with bright articulate hard-working people; with rich natural resources; with the best climate in the world; it is a country of stunning natural beauty. As Garfield Todd said over 50 years ago it is indeed the finest country on earth. How can it then be that the finest country on earth is the location of one of the world’s worst nightmares? I believe that is primarily because our political leadership has for decades put selfish personal interests ahead of the national interest.

One of the reasons the Lancaster house talks did not provide a long-term resolution to Zimbabwe’s problems is because white rights were put before the entrenchment of universally recognised human rights. Instead of ensuring that the new Zimbabwean Constitution deeply rooted democratic principles there was a concentration on protecting white interests. In contrast both FW De Klerk and Roelff Meyer in the South African negotiations recognised that it was more important to entrench democracy for all than it was to seek to protect white privilege.

Likewise the reason the December 22, 1987 Unity Accord has come unstuck is because it accommodated the interests of the political leadership of Zanu PF and PF Zapu rather than the general interests of the Zimbabwean people. One of the reasons there is such antipathy in Zimbabwe today regarding a government of national unity is because of the 1987 Unity Accord. The Unity Accord is viewed by most people, certainly in Matabeleland, as a settlement which benefited a few leaders and did not entrench democracy and so lay the foundation for meaningful economic development which would benefit all Zimbabweans.

Sadly that attitude continues to this day and applies to both Zanu PF and the MDC. I fear that the current negotiations may focus on who gets what instead of what structural reforms are needed to put Zimbabwe back on the road to recovery. If the negotiations focus on how much power is either retained by Zanu PF or acquired by the MDC rather than the policy reforms needed then any settlement that arises from the negotiations will not be wholeheartedly embraced by the Zimbabwean people.

To this extent who leads the country and who is in any Cabinet is irrelevant. Let me be quite clear what I mean. Obviously the democratic will of the people of Zimbabwe as reflected in the 29 March 2008 elections must be respected. However the problems Zimbabwe face are so severe and intractable that we cannot allow petty bickering about who gets what to derail the negotiations. All national leaders must recommit themselves to the national interest and be prepared to subordinate their personal goals and ambitions to what is in the best interests of Zimbabwe. This means that in the interests of compromise there may have to be some power-sharing mechanism during a transitional period.

In this regard let me briefly respond to the statement issued by the civil society organisations on 17 July 2007 in which they call upon a transitional government to have “leadership by a neutral body” and a transitional government “headed by an individual who is not a member of Zanu PF or MDC”. Once again whilst I appreciate the sentiment which lies behind the statement one cannot just disregard the wishes of the Zimbabwean people as expressed on 29 March. Our society remains deeply polarised and we cannot ignore the fact that leaders on both sides of the political divide enjoy the passionate support of their respective supporters. They have been given a mandate by their supporters and that mandate must be respected in the negotiation process. However it is because of that deep polarisation that I believe we will have to consider some interim power sharing mechanism. And it goes without saying that power-sharing involves compromise on both sides.

But the tragic consequences are not solely confined to economic collapse. Almost of greater concern to me is the collapse of the moral fabric of our society. We need to consider the effect of 50 years of violence on our national character. In this regard and I am not only speaking about the victims of violence but also about the perpetrators. In the last few weeks I have seen horrifying injuries inflicted on Zimbabweans by young men. Doctors say that some of these injuries are so severe that they would never occur, for example, in a traffic accident. Bones had been broken repeatedly by young men acting on the instructions of their political leaders. I have no doubt that they will be haunted by what they have done in the years that lie ahead. Scientific studies show that those who inflict violence on political opponents often go on to inflict violence on those they love including spouses and children. It is also a fact that we now have a deeply ingrained culture of violence. If negotiations are to succeed then not only must this violence stop immediately but other measures must be taken to ensure that violence does not derail either the talks or the transition.

In these circumstances the demand by the MDC that all violence should stop, that political detainees should be released and that is NGOs be allowed to distribute food are reasonable. However I would qualify these demands by recognising that even if Zanu PF gives undertakings it will be difficult to verify the compliance of those undertakings in the short term and to change the mind set of a generation of youth militia overnight. I believe that SADC has a key role to play in this regard. I think the state should immediately deploy civilian monitors to report back to the facilitators regarding whether militia camps have been removed, whether NGOs are able to function and other legitimate issues of concern have been addressed. I think that if such a commitment is given by SADC then negotiations should commence without further ado. But we must recognise that unless there are neutral SADC monitors deployed in the country eruptions of violence are more likely to occur and these may have the effect of disrupting the talks.

It follows as well that a crucial aspect of the talks must be how to tackle the culture of violence so that it does not derail any transitional period agreed to in the talks. Suffice it to say that we must not underestimate how serious this problem is and our need for an ongoing presence of SADC monitors even during the transitional period.

For the reasons I have outlined above a government of national unity will be viewed with extreme scepticism by most Zimbabweans. The fear of Zimbabweans is that the government of national unity will draw in unscrupulous political leaders who then become part of a corrupt system. The fear is that those leaders are then compromised and that they will fail to deal with the fundamental problems facing Zimbabwe.

It is for this reason that a transitional authority should be agreed to and I would like to discuss a few aspects of this authority. Before I do so let me respond to those who may say that there is no difference between a GNU and a Transitional Authority. Some argue that this is just about semantics. I disagree – the difference is all about emphasis. A GNU focuses on “unity”; substance is secondary and the notion of a transition to something different is completely subordinate to unity. A Transitional Authority focuses on “transition”. There can, and must of course, be unity in transition but the emphasis is on a transition to something new, not just a changing of the guard at the top.

My own belief is that any transitional authority emerging from the talks should generally respect the will of the people as expressed on 29 March 2008. As stated above because our nation is so deeply polarised there will have to be a power-sharing arrangement during the transition including all the political parties given a mandate by the electorate in March. However during the transition civil society will have to play a major role in certain aspects of the transitional authority’s mandate, especially regarding the process which should culminate in a new democratic constitution.

Any transitional authority agreed to should have a finite mandate. It must be made clear that the authority will not have a mandate to govern indefinitely. In addition the duration of the authority should be as short as possible; and it should be understood that it is to govern in the short term – I would hope for no longer than 18 months to two years.
It seems to me that there are four critical areas that need to be addressed by a transitional authority.

The transitional authority should be mandated to stabilise the economy, to seek balance of payments support, to tackle inflation by engaging institutions such as the World Bank and the IMF. It will need to draw on technical expertise from qualified Zimbabweans and others who can introduce the necessary economic policies to stop Zimbabwe’s economic freefall.
Zimbabwe is arguably suffering the world’s greatest humanitarian crisis at present. The country faces a severe food shortage; our hospitals are devoid of qualified personnel and medication. An absolute priority of the transitional authority should be to engage the international community to ensure the importation of the necessary food and drugs and introduction of policies which will attract qualified personnel to return to Zimbabwe to address the food and health crisis.

At the root of the political, economic and humanitarian crises is our deeply flawed Constitution. The transitional authority should immediately engage all Zimbabwean political parties, civic organisations that trade union movements, churches and other interested organisations to recommence the constitutional debate and to agree on an all-inclusive process which will culminate in a new constitution.

Once the economy has been stabilised, the humanitarian crisis addressed and a new constitution enacted the transitional authority should hand over to a genuinely, and objectively verifiable, Independent Electoral Commission which will then conduct and genuinely free and fair elections supervised by SADC and the AU.

Zimbabwe has reached a political stalemate. There is no way out for Zanu PF. Its nemesis is now the economy. It has no solution to hyperinflation. It knows that in the coming weeks and months it will not even be able to feed key elements of its support base. To that extent it has no choice but to negotiate. Likewise the combined MDC in respecting its moral and practical commitment to a non-violent solution to the Zimbabwean crisis must recognise that it to too has no choice but to negotiate, no matter how unpalatable that may be in certain respects.

Despite our fears and reservations we must see this as a unique opportunity to negotiate a peaceful settlement for our nation. Our country is in great peril today. We can either allow it to continue down its present slide to destruction and oblivion or we can all work together to seize this opportunity to lay the foundations for a great nation. I reiterate again the words of Garfield Todd made over 50 years ago – this is indeed the finest country on earth. It is missing one key ingredient at present – democracy. When that ingredient is rooted I have no doubt that the Zimbabwe will yet become the jewel of Africa.

*David Coltart is Senator-elect for Khumalo Constituency. This is an abridged version of a Speech given to Bulawayo Agenda meeting on Friday July 18, 2008.

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Ditch this old dictator

The Australian
By David Coltart
July 25, 2008

WITH talks between the Movement for Democratic Change and ZANU-PF set to
determine the future of Zimbabwe, it is incumbent on all to refer to the
vision of Zimbabwe held by its most important stakeholders: Zimbabweans.

That vision reaches out to gather in the desires and hopes most ordinary
Zimbabweans carry for peace, freedom and justice in their country. The
coming weeks are not a time for empty leadership, nor is it time for a
process of arranging the chairs of power to comfort the padded fundaments of
power-brokers. Zimbabwe has seen enough of this. We need leaders who listen
to human-scale policies.

Such a process won South Africa its much-deserved freedom. Then, the
towering figure of Nelson Mandela constructed and maintained a process that
was politically sound and broadly integrated. Mandela is the first to admit
that his leadership was reliant upon the leadership of others, of people
such as F.W. de Klerk, Cyril Ramaphosa and Roelf Meyer. It was a culture of
leadership that won out.

Zimbabweans know too well the implications of a drastic and fatal failure in
leadership. The agreement between the MDC and ZANU-PF to discuss a
transitional arrangement is a step forward, but Zimbabweans have too often
seen the moral bankruptcy in our leaders to hold their hopes too high.

The political leadership of Zimbabwe has been soaked in violence and
recrimination for decades. The most concerted and avowed efforts have been
in tight circles of self-interest, spinning enduringly in power’s tiny
labyrinth.

These leadership dysfunctions have reached across all Africa and indeed,
across the globe. World and regional leaders, along with Zimbabwe’s, have
rarely failed in one area: to disappoint.

While leaders talk, we might cast our minds back to the 1987 Unity Accord
between Robert Mugabe’s ZANU PF and Joshua Nkomo’s ZAPU, to fully appreciate
the moment we are in. Then, political comforts were top of the agenda.
Policy reforms and economic development were relegated.

The cause of democracy in Zimbabwe is still struggling to recover from this
self-satisfying arrangement which created a personal vehicle of rampant
power that Mugabe still drives to this day.

This is the historical context for the talks between the MDC and ZANU-PF.
You can see why there is many a jaundiced eye being cast on it from the
direction of Zimbabwe.

However, if politics is an art, then compromise is surely one of its
instruments. As a lawyer myself, compromise on certain issues is hard to
accept. But, short of a willingness to countenance an even higher body
count, today there are no alternatives.

This being so, how might our leaders fulfil the destiny of a nation and
seize this vital moment in the lives and futures of not only all
Zimbabweans, but of all those with hope and a will for freedom?

For one, there should be no consideration of a permanent government of
national unity. Such a joint arrangement, possibly with Mugabe retaining the
presidency indefinitely and with Morgan Tsvangirai becoming the prime
minister, would simply make a mockery of the decision of Zimbabwe’s voters,
which has already been recorded following the March 29 poll.

There can be no other consideration beyond the establishment of a
transitional authority.

A formal transitional body renders an emphasis on something new, not on a
few shifted seats at the top in Harare. Its composition will need to reflect
the will of the people expressed on March 29 and will need to incorporate
the much-undervalued yet utterly vital forces of civil society.

An authority so constructed will need to quickly enter a period of
power-sharing, working to a finite mandate. A period of 18-24 months should
be sufficient during which to address the issues most pressing in
post-Mugabe Zimbabwe. Broadly, these issues are: the economic crisis, the
constitutional crisis, the need for fresh elections and the humanitarian
crisis.

Like all Zimbabweans, I see the coming weeks as a test for leadership. But,
all tests are opportunities. We are now looking upon a rare, if not unique,
chance to arrest the plummeting decline of one of Africa’s brightest stars.

All Africa has a stake in what happens and in the ability of our leaders to
lead with justice, peace and equality uppermost. I prefer to side with the
optimists who see hope instead of bitterness, a new future instead of a past
repeated and, a new dawn in Zimbabwe, where the beauty, intelligence and
potential of our people is fully realised.

This is my Zimbabwe. It is our Zimbabwe. It must be our leaders’ Zimbabwe
too. Failure is not an option.

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